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2024-12-14 01:03:10

Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.Hong Kong's IPO is expected to return to the top three in the world next year, and signs of recovery of Hong Kong's IPO are beginning to appear this year: Hong Kong's capital market has ushered in a strong wave of "listing in Hong Kong", from upstarts such as Horizon to giants such as Midea, SF Express, Hengrui, Haitian and Mao Geping, and many mainland enterprises have turned their attention to Hong Kong. Some institutions predict that Hong Kong is expected to return to the fourth place in global IPO financing this year and the top three in the world in 2025. "When I was in Hong Kong, I might have to see three or five companies a day. This is no exaggeration." Chen Yiting, chief executive of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, said in an interview recently that "many market participants and investment bankers are quite optimistic about Hong Kong's IPO market in 2025." (Securities Times)The South Korean National Assembly will vote on the impeachment case of Yin Xiyue at 4 pm tomorrow. It is reported that the South Korean National Assembly will hold a plenary meeting at 4 pm on the 14th (3 pm Beijing time) to vote on the motion on impeaching President Yin Xiyue. Opposition parties such as the Common Democratic Party originally planned to vote at 5 pm tomorrow, but the President's Office of the National Assembly moved the voting time forward by one hour. The Office of the Speaker of the National Assembly published news materials in this regard, saying that the impeachment case of Yin Xiyue was reported to the plenary session of the National Assembly this afternoon. According to relevant laws, Congress must vote on the impeachment case 24 hours after it is reported to the plenary session. This vote is a major issue concerning the country, and the President's Office of the National Assembly decided to vote one hour in advance, taking into account the internal discussion time of various parties and other factors.


In violation of regulations, Sun Yongcheng, a member of the former party group of Heilongjiang Provincial Federation of Trade Unions, was expelled from the party. After investigation, Sun Yongcheng violated political discipline and confronted organizational review; Violation of organizational discipline, failure to truthfully explain problems when organizing letters and inquiries, and use their powers to seek personnel benefits for relatives and others; Violation of integrity discipline, illegal access to large returns through private lending, and use of authority to seek benefits for the business activities of relatives; Violation of work discipline, intervention in project contracting; Taking advantage of the convenience of his position and the formation of his authority or position, he seeks benefits for others in the aspects of engineering project license handling, mineral management right transfer, company preparation approval, etc., illegally accepting and demanding property, and is suspected of accepting bribes.Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.Tianmao Group: The premium income of Guohua Life Insurance in 2024 was about 32.694 billion yuan. Tianmao Group announced that the accumulated original insurance premium income of Guohua Life Insurance Co., Ltd., a holding subsidiary of the company, was about 32.694 billion yuan from January 1, 2024 to November 30, 2024. The above-mentioned original insurance premium income data has not been audited.


In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. The special promotion activity of "Investing in China" in the Middle East was held in the United Arab Emirates; 2. Promote China's economic ships to ride the wind and waves to achieve stability (talk about implementation)-comrades attending the meeting talk about implementing the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference; 3. On the 10th anniversary of the comprehensive water supply, the first phase of the East Central Line Project has transferred more than 76.7 billion cubic meters of water to the northern region, solidly promoting the South-to-North Water Transfer Project to exert greater benefits (authoritative release); 4. Overcome the problem of traveling on the thin soft soil seabed, and the domestic underwater cable laying robot can complete the launching test with an operating speed of kilometers per hour; 5. Ensure that artificial intelligence is always a "friend" (live comment); 6, more and better use of clean energy (micro); 7. The tenth batch of 62 kinds of drugs were successfully purchased by the state, and the products selected in this centralized purchase will be used in April next year; 8. The competitiveness index of China's overall agricultural scientific papers ranks first in the world; 9. The personal pension system will be implemented nationwide, and the number of accounts opened has exceeded 70 million, adding more stable income investment varieties. Experts advise investors to allocate products according to their own risk preferences, financial management knowledge and age; 10. In the first nine months of this year, tourism revenue increased by 8.6% year-on-year. Brazil accelerated the development of tourism and expected more tourists from China to visit; 11. Malaya Investment Bank-The economies of several ASEAN countries are expected to maintain growth next year.848 agricultural and livestock products in Inner Mongolia were selected into the national list of famous and excellent new agricultural products. The reporter learned from the Agriculture and Animal Husbandry Department of Inner Mongolia that 30 products including Songshan sweet pepper and Jiuyuan duck-billed fish declared by Inner Mongolia were recently selected into the third batch of national list of famous and excellent new agricultural products in 2024. A total of 848 agricultural and livestock products in Inner Mongolia were selected into the national list of famous and excellent new agricultural products, ranking among the top in the country. (Xinhua News Agency)Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened down 66.80 points, or 0.80%, at 8263.50 points on Friday, December 13th.

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